Smelling a rat
GM maize, health and the Seralini affair
The Economist - December 7, 2013
GENETICALLY modified maize causes cancer: that was the gist of one of the most controversial
studies in recent memory, published in September 2012 by Food and Chemical Toxicology. Well,
actually, GM maize doesn't cancer and, on November 28th, the journal retracted the paper. This followed criticism
that the rats used in the experiment were prone to cancer anyway; that
the experimental protocol used could not distinguish between tumours which might have
been caused by gm food from those that
were spontaneous (the experiment had been set up to investigate a different question and thus
included too few animals);
and the authors offered no mechanism by which gm food could cause
cancer. While it may be too much to say that
gm foods have been proven to be
safe for human consumption, no other study has found health risks in mammals from eating them.
The article was by Gilles-Eric Seralini of the University of
Caen, in France, and his colleagues. It described what happened to rats fed with NK6O3
maize, a variety made by US firm Monsanto and which was resistant to the herbicide glyphosate thanks to a genetic
modification of the maize DNA. Monsanto also discovered
glyphosate's herbicidal properties, selling it under the trade name "Roundup".
Because the crop is resistant to glyphosate,
farmers can spray their fields with
it, killing weeds but leaving the maize unscathed.
In Dr Seralini's experiment, rats fed with the modified
maize were reckoned more likely to develop tumours than those which had not been.
Females were especially badly affected: their death rates were two or three times as
high as those of control groups. (Rats fed with diluted glyphosate also suffered
health damage.)
The article was explosive. Jean-Marc Ayrault, France's
prime minister, said that if its results were confirmed his government would press for
a Europe-wide ban on NK6O3 maize. Russia suspended imports of the crop. Kenya banned all gm crops. The article came out two months before a referendum in
California that would have
required the labelling of all gm foods. It played a role in the vote, though in the event the proposition was defeated.
The paper had all the more impact because it contradicted
previous studies on GM foods. Research published in 2007 by Japan's Department of
Environmental Health and Toxicology on genetically modified soyabeans, for example, reported "no apparent adverse effect in
rats" from the beans (or from glyphosate). That finding was
confirmed by a review of all the
available evidence by a team at the University of Nottingham, in England, published in 2012.
But Dr Seralini's paper was also explosive for reasons
unrelated to its content. It stirred up controversy before it was even published because the authors insisted that journalists who were given advance copies could not seek independent comment on the paper's contents when writing their articles, and would face a large fine if they did so. This was an unusual and widely criticised requirement, which had the effect of ensuring that third-party criticism of the paper did not appear during the important early days when a huge amount of public attention was focused on the findings. That may help explain the panicky reactions
in France, Kenya and Russia.
Though the paper has been retracted, that is unlikely to
be end of the matter. The journal's publisher said there was "no evidence of fraud or
intentional misrepresentation of the data", which are the usual justifications for
retraction. Scientific opinion runs strongly against the conclusion that GM foods are harmful - but not universally so. A group called the European
Network of
Scientists for Social and Environmental Responsibility backed Dr Seralini. And anti-GM activists
are unabashed: in August, a group in the Philippines destroyed a field study of
Golden Riceh had been genetically modified to carry beta-carotene, a chemical precursor of
vitamin a. Deficiencies of this vitamin contribute to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of children
every year and make many more blind. Neither the prospect of public-health benefits in poor countries, nor the absence of scientific evidence of damage to health is dulling the edge of the environmental campaign against all gm foods.